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San Diego Toreros 68
@
Pacific Tigers 72
2025-12-30

Model Predictions

Model San Diego Toreros Pacific Tigers Spread Result
Elo 58.1% 41.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 33.6% 66.4% - ✓
Margin 20.5% 79.5% +7.4 ✓ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 33.6% 66.4% - ✓
Efficiency 41.7% 58.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 17.1% 82.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 16.5% 83.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 31.7% 68.3% - ✓

Actual: Pacific Tigers +4 (72-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego Toreros

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Ray 40 10-22 3-7 6-7 8 4 4 0 2 29 21 -1.3
O. Owens 31 4-11 1-7 5-6 6 1 2 0 6 14 6 +8.0
H. Rhodes 29 4-10 1-4 2-4 2 0 1 0 1 11 3 +9.4
L. Amor 28 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 -1 -11.0
H. Holley 24 3-3 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 7 8 -4.8
E. Ruse 23 2-5 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 1 0 5 8 +10.9
A. Williams 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -5 -3.3
J. Rhodes 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -7.9
D. Moore 8 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 -5.2

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Szabo 32 1-2 1-2 0-2 3 1 1 0 1 3 5 +1.2
S. Ward 30 6-8 1-1 6-9 8 2 1 0 1 19 21 -3.8
N. Lowery 30 2-7 1-5 0-2 2 2 2 0 1 5 3 -2.2
D. Nestorov 27 4-9 1-2 4-5 6 4 1 0 1 13 14 +3.2
M. Radocaj 25 4-11 0-0 1-4 4 2 0 2 2 9 4 -3.7
L. Yergensen 22 2-3 0-1 6-8 1 2 0 0 1 10 9 -0.6
W. Bartholomew 13 4-9 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 8 -1 -3.7
L. Anderegg 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 2 +7.5
S. Mindermann 9 0-1 0-1 3-3 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 +1.7

* = starter