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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Pacific Tigers Spread Result
Elo 89.3% 10.7% -
Bradley-Terry 77.7% 22.3% -
Margin 93.1% 6.9% -14.3 (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 71.7% 28.3% -
Efficiency 94.4% 5.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.4% 5.6% -
Log Adjusted 94.4% 5.6% -
Points Off/Def 76.0% 24.0% -

Actual: Pacific Tigers -15 (70-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Turner 34 4-10 2-6 2-2 1 2 2 0 3 12 4 -
I. Bettencourt 33 6-14 1-5 0-0 3 7 5 0 2 13 12 -
L. Whittaker 25 6-8 0-0 8-11 11 0 2 1 3 20 23 -
J. Haile 22 3-4 0-0 4-4 5 1 0 0 0 10 12 -
T. Smith 21 2-4 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 2 6 6 -
T. Gardner 19 2-6 1-3 2-2 6 1 1 0 0 7 9 -
Z. Aokuso 16 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 4 3 -3 -
J. Wilson 13 2-2 1-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 7 8 -
S. Lichtie 10 1-4 0-0 5-5 2 0 0 0 1 7 4 -
C. Osarobo 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Dalan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Mindermann 30 2-6 1-4 3-3 0 0 0 0 3 8 -1 -
D. Nestorov 30 0-4 0-0 2-2 1 9 0 0 2 2 6 -
S. Ward 29 8-14 3-5 11-13 6 2 2 0 0 30 26 -
S. Szabo 22 3-8 3-5 0-0 2 0 0 2 1 9 4 -
N. Lowery 21 2-5 1-3 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 7 5 -
M. Radocaj 20 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 4 1 0 -
W. Bartholomew 19 4-7 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 9 5 -
L. Lebon 9 0-0 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
L. Yergensen 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
H. Burg 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
L. Anderegg 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
M. Ennis 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter