San Francisco
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1184 (#83) | Preseason prior 1147 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1046, returning +98, transfers +3, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1115 (#83) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1113 (#83) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +5.2 (#120) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +5.2 (#121) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.588 (#133) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.611 (#121) | AdjNet +2.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.627 (#117) | AdjNet +2.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.595 (#112) | AdjO 70.6 | AdjD 69.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.594 (#112) | AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 69.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.641 (#109) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.641 (#109) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1121 (#85) | RD 179 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.682 (#94) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | vs | Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine | W | 85 - 79 |
| 2026-11-08 | @ | California Golden Bears | L | 65 - 87 |
| 2026-11-11 | @ | Air Force Falcons | W | 77 - 70 |
| 2026-11-15 | @ | UC San Diego Tritons | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-19 | vs | Long Beach State Beach | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maria Burliga
|
G | 1 | 32.0 | 17.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 20.0 | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 58.3 | 0.0 | 37.5 | -0.48 | 54.8 | 58.3 |
Aina Cargol
|
G | 1 | 41.0 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 5 | 3 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 1.64 | 62.9 | 55.0 |
Candy Edokpaigbe
|
G | 1 | 37.0 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 21.0 | -2.0 | -12 | 3 | -4.0 | -4.8 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 25.0 | -1.53 | 33.0 | 33.3 |
Savi Mi
|
G | 1 | 25.0 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 12.0 | 18 | 3 | 6.0 | 10.7 | 28.6 | 22.2 | 80.0 | 1.13 | 43.2 | 35.7 |
Lucia Yenes
|
F | 1 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 16 | 3 | 5.3 | 10.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 1.64 | 58.3 | 58.3 |
N. Mourio
|
F | 1 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | -9 | 3 | -3.0 | -7.5 | 60.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.11 | 55.1 | 60.0 |
Jayda Queeley
|
G | 1 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | -23 | 3 | -7.7 | -28.3 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -5.5 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
Emilie Beggs
|
G | 1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -25 | 3 | -8.3 | -29.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -3.22 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
Keiryn McGuff
|
F | 1 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | -1.0 | -28 | 3 | -9.3 | -23.4 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -3.82 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
Natasa Tausova
|
F | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | -1 | 3 | -0.3 | -1.1 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.39 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
Ines Babaya
|
G | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -1 | 2 | -0.5 | -6.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.22 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Paula Tirado
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
83 located field-goal attempts in 1 game (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Candy EdokpaigbeAina CargolSavi MiLucia YenesJayda Queeley
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 21-33 | 63.6 | 42 | Candy Edokpaigbe 24% (10 pts) | Maria Burliga 24% (10 pts) | Candy Edokpaigbe 42% (5 misses) | Keiryn McGuff 25% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 2-13 | 15.4 | 4 | Candy Edokpaigbe 50% (2 pts) | Maria Burliga 50% (2 pts) | Aina Cargol 18% (2 misses) | Candy Edokpaigbe 18% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 0-1 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Jayda Queeley 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Mid-range center | 0-3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Jayda Queeley 33% (1 misses) | Lucia Yenes 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 4-7 | 57.1 | 8 | Aina Cargol 25% (2 pts) | Candy Edokpaigbe 25% (2 pts) | Candy Edokpaigbe 33% (1 misses) | Lucia Yenes 33% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 1-4 | 25.0 | 3 | Jayda Queeley 100% (3 pts) | - | Candy Edokpaigbe 33% (1 misses) | Keiryn McGuff 33% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 0-3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Candy Edokpaigbe 67% (2 misses) | Ines Babaya 33% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 1-5 | 20.0 | 3 | Savi Mi 100% (3 pts) | - | Savi Mi 50% (2 misses) | Candy Edokpaigbe 25% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 1-3 | 33.3 | 3 | Lucia Yenes 100% (3 pts) | - | Lucia Yenes 50% (1 misses) | Savi Mi 50% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 2-11 | 18.2 | 6 | Aina Cargol 50% (3 pts) | Savi Mi 50% (3 pts) | Savi Mi 33% (3 misses) | Candy Edokpaigbe 22% (2 misses) |