Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.6% | 98.4% | +22.6 | ✓ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Golden Bears +8 (60-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nestorov | 31 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | -3.6 |
| L. Yergensen | 30 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | -17.4 |
| N. Lowery | 26 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +8.7 |
| S. Ward | 25 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | -15.1 |
| S. Szabo | 22 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +22.5 |
| W. Bartholomew | 21 | 4-15 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | +0.4 |
| M. Radocaj | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2.0 |
| L. Anderegg | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +10.1 |
| M. Ennis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Mindermann | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -8.3 |
| H. Burg | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -2.7 |
| K. Durrill | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Barnes | 38 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| L. Twidale | 34 | 6-15 | 0-6 | 7-7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | +0.8 |
| L. Donez | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -8.2 |
| G. Maul | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | +14.0 |
| S. Walker | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -17.4 |
| A. Morris | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | -2.6 |
| M. Sheppard | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +5.7 |
| C. Langarita | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +7.4 |
| N. Ojukwu | 8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +13.5 |
| G. McCallop | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | -3.4 |
| I. Johnson-Musah | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Drosouni | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
* = starter