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2026-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Pacific Tigers Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 5.6% 94.4% -
Bradley-Terry 13.9% 86.1% -
Margin 3.1% 96.9% +19.0 (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 22.3% 77.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 15.4% 84.6% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +28 (72-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Mindermann 33 1-8 0-6 2-4 6 2 0 1 3 4 2 -4.3
S. Ward 31 5-12 1-3 0-0 7 0 0 3 2 11 7 -21.2
D. Nestorov 28 2-9 0-4 1-1 0 3 0 0 3 5 -4 -13.2
N. Lowery 22 2-9 1-5 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 5 0 -15.5
L. Lebon 21 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 2 1 2 -4.7
L. Yergensen 20 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 0 0 -14.3
W. Bartholomew 18 5-10 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 12 5 +1.8
S. Szabo 17 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 6 4 +0.4
L. Anderegg 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 0 2 -10.4

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Turner 26 4-9 2-4 2-2 2 3 0 0 1 12 7 +13.9
J. Haile 22 5-9 0-0 5-7 10 1 1 0 1 15 17 +7.6
T. Smith 20 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 4 4 0 1 4 10 +9.0
I. Bettencourt 20 0-4 0-1 1-2 3 5 2 0 1 1 6 +13.4
C. Osarobo 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 4 +8.8
T. Gardner 17 4-11 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 9 1 +1.5
L. Whittaker 16 7-16 0-1 1-1 7 1 1 1 0 15 9 +8.9
S. Lichtie 15 4-9 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 8 6 +5.4
Z. Aokuso 15 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -2 +4.0
P. Lofing 14 1-2 1-2 0-2 2 1 0 0 1 3 3 +8.6
J. Wilson 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +5.8
M. Dalan 7 0-2 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 1 3 +2.8

* = starter