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Milwaukee

2026-2027 Team Stats (5 games)

65.4
PPG
64.4
Opp
+1.0
Margin
43.5%
FG%
35.1%
3P%
60.9%
FT%
34.6
RPG
17.2
APG
13.4
TO
68.4
Est. poss./game
59.6
Adj PPG
58.5
Adj Opp PPG
#224
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 723 (returning production + recruiting): last season 811, returning -45, transfers -43, freshmen +0 More โ†’ 721 (#329) Preseason prior 723 (returning production + recruiting): last season 811, returning -45, transfers -43, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +169 elo More โ†’ 824 (#321) HCA +169 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +169 elo More โ†’ 828 (#321) HCA +169 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.7 More โ†’ -12.7 (#288) HCA +1.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +1.6 More โ†’ -12.7 (#287) HCA +1.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.242 (#230) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.9 More โ†’ 0.294 (#261) AdjNet -3.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.6 More โ†’ 0.298 (#253) AdjNet -3.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 58.5 More โ†’ 0.389 (#224) AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 58.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 59.7 | AdjD 58.6 More โ†’ 0.392 (#223) AdjO 59.7 | AdjD 58.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.292 (#270) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.292 (#270) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 167 | GP 4 More โ†’ 794 (#322) RD 167 | GP 4
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.220 (#288) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Recency Ensemble Log Adjusted Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-03 @ Northwestern Wildcats L 60 - 64
2026-11-05 @ Saint Louis Billikens L 62 - 81
2026-11-08 @ SIU Edwardsville Cougars L 57 - 63
2026-11-12 vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks W 77 - 49
2026-11-14 @ Loyola Chicago Ramblers W 71 - 65
2026-11-15 @ Indiana Hoosiers - Preview
2026-11-20 @ Western Michigan Broncos - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tierney Madigan Tierney Madigan G 4 29.0 15.2 6.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 11.5 12.2 3 4 0.8 1.1 60.9 40.0 75.0 0.35 63.9 63.0
Madison Fitzgibbon Madison Fitzgibbon G 4 25.2 12.8 2.8 3.2 0.2 0.0 2.0 9.2 7.8 7 4 1.8 2.8 54.1 43.5 50.0 0.21 67.3 67.6
Izzy Pugh Izzy Pugh F 4 21.5 11.8 5.2 0.8 1.0 0.5 1.8 10.5 7.0 -3 4 -0.8 -1.3 40.5 0.0 65.0 -2.33 46.3 40.5
Rita Gomes Rita Gomes G 4 13.5 8.5 3.0 0.2 1.0 0.2 0.5 5.0 7.5 7 4 1.8 5.4 55.0 53.3 66.7 1.35 75.1 75.0
Jaeda Murphy Jaeda Murphy G 4 26.2 4.8 1.8 4.2 0.8 0.0 2.8 4.0 4.8 1 4 0.2 0.4 43.8 60.0 40.0 -0.52 52.2 53.1
Payton Rechlicz Payton Rechlicz G 4 31.2 4.5 4.0 1.8 0.2 0.2 1.0 5.2 4.5 -4 4 -1.0 -1.2 33.3 36.4 0 -1.79 42.9 42.9
Sophia Rampulla Sophia Rampulla G 2 14.5 4.0 2.0 1.5 2.0 0.5 1.0 3.5 5.5 3 2 1.5 5.9 42.9 0.0 50.0 -0.56 45.7 42.9
Jada Williams Jada Williams G 2 10.5 3.5 1.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 5 1 5.0 18.0 33.3 33.3 66.7 -1.67 47.8 41.7
Kylie Butler Kylie Butler G 1 11.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 - - - - 33.3 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Kendall Barnes Kendall Barnes G 4 12.2 2.5 2.2 1.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 2.2 2.5 2 4 0.5 1.3 33.3 100.0 75.0 -2.23 46.5 38.9
Lizzy Favret Lizzy Favret F 3 7.7 2.0 1.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 3.0 0.7 3 3 1.0 11.9 33.3 0.0 0.0 -0.22 30.4 33.3
Valerie Cassidy-De Falco Valerie Cassidy-De Falco G 2 4.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 -1.5 -9 2 -4.5 -37.3 20.0 0.0 0 -2.45 20.0 20.0
Nataya Donaldson Nataya Donaldson G 1 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -6 1 -6.0 -31.6 0 0 50.0 -1.54 56.8 0
Olivia Olson Olivia Olson G 2 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -1.0 -13 3 -4.3 -24.1 16.7 0.0 0 -1.78 16.7 16.7
Cece McNair Cece McNair C 4 12.8 0.2 2.2 0.8 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 1.2 -3 4 -0.8 -2.1 0.0 0 50.0 -2.32 7.3 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

233 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Madigan33% Madigan48% Gomes40% Fitzgibbon100% Fitzgibbon75% Fitzgibbon100% Rechlicz50% Gomes33% Fitzgibbon50% Fitzgibbon38%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Pugh39% Pugh24% Barnes25% Madigan50% Barnes25% Murphy17% Gomes100% Fitzgibbon35% Rechlicz38% Fitzgibbon36%
Misses: who misses most here

Tierney MadiganMadison FitzgibbonIzzy PughRita GomesPayton RechliczJaeda MurphyKendall Barnes

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 42-88 47.7 84 Tierney Madigan 33% (28 pts) Izzy Pugh 26% (22 pts) Izzy Pugh 39% (18 misses) Tierney Madigan 15% (7 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 21-42 50.0 42 Tierney Madigan 48% (20 pts) Izzy Pugh 29% (12 pts) Izzy Pugh 24% (5 misses) Jaeda Murphy 19% (4 misses)
Mid-range left 5-13 38.5 10 Rita Gomes 40% (4 pts) Madison Fitzgibbon 20% (2 pts) Kendall Barnes 25% (2 misses) Tierney Madigan 25% (2 misses)
Mid-range center 2-6 33.3 4 Madison Fitzgibbon 100% (4 pts) - Tierney Madigan 50% (2 misses) Jada Williams 25% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 4-8 50.0 8 Madison Fitzgibbon 75% (6 pts) Tierney Madigan 25% (2 pts) Kendall Barnes 25% (1 misses) Madison Fitzgibbon 25% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 1-7 14.3 3 Madison Fitzgibbon 100% (3 pts) - Jaeda Murphy 17% (1 misses) Kylie Butler 17% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 2-3 66.7 6 Payton Rechlicz 50% (3 pts) Rita Gomes 50% (3 pts) Rita Gomes 100% (1 misses) -
Above-break 3 left 9-26 34.6 27 Rita Gomes 33% (9 pts) Madison Fitzgibbon 22% (6 pts) Madison Fitzgibbon 35% (6 misses) Payton Rechlicz 24% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 center 2-10 20.0 6 Madison Fitzgibbon 50% (3 pts) Payton Rechlicz 50% (3 pts) Payton Rechlicz 38% (3 misses) Madison Fitzgibbon 25% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right 16-30 53.3 48 Madison Fitzgibbon 38% (18 pts) Rita Gomes 25% (12 pts) Madison Fitzgibbon 36% (5 misses) Rita Gomes 36% (5 misses)