🐻⬇️🏀

Orlando Magic

Also known as: Orlando Magic
Program History

Model Outputs

2019-2020
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1038 (#51) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 994 (#99) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.8 More → +4.9 (#32) HCA +1.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.479 (#19) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -1.4 More → 0.467 (#17) NetEff -1.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.2 More → 0.672 (#17) AdjNet +6.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.3 More → 0.675 (#17) AdjNet +6.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 109.2 | AdjD 102.7 More → 0.644 (#16) AdjO 109.2 | AdjD 102.7

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-10-23 vs CLE W 94 - 85
2019-10-26 @ ATL L 99 - 103
2019-10-28 @ TOR L 95 - 104
2019-10-30 vs NYK W 95 - 83
2019-11-01 vs MIL L 91 - 123
2019-11-02 vs DEN L 87 - 91
2019-11-06 @ OKC L 94 - 102
2019-11-07 @ DAL L 106 - 107
2019-11-09 vs MEM W 118 - 86
2019-11-10 vs IND L 102 - 109
2019-11-14 vs PHI W 112 - 97
2019-11-16 vs SAS W 111 - 109
2019-11-17 vs WAS W 125 - 121
2019-11-21 @ TOR L 97 - 113
2019-11-24 @ IND L 106 - 111
2019-11-26 @ DET L 88 - 103
2019-11-28 @ CLE W 116 - 104
2019-11-30 vs TOR L 83 - 90
2019-12-01 vs GSW W 100 - 96
2019-12-04 @ WAS W 127 - 120
2019-12-04 vs PHX W 128 - 114
2019-12-06 @ CLE W 93 - 87
2019-12-10 @ MIL L 101 - 110
2019-12-12 vs LAL L 87 - 96
2019-12-14 vs HOU L 107 - 130
2019-12-15 @ NOP W 130 - 119
2019-12-18 @ UTA L 102 - 109
2019-12-19 @ DEN L 104 - 113
2019-12-21 @ POR L 103 - 118
2019-12-24 vs CHI W 103 - 95
2019-12-28 vs PHI W 98 - 97
2019-12-29 @ MIL L 100 - 111
2019-12-31 vs ATL L 93 - 101
2020-01-01 @ WAS W 122 - 101
2020-01-04 vs MIA W 105 - 85
2020-01-05 vs UTA L 96 - 109
2020-01-07 vs BKN W 101 - 89
2020-01-09 vs WAS W 123 - 89
2020-01-11 @ PHX L 94 - 98
2020-01-14 @ SAC W 114 - 112
2020-01-16 @ LAL W 119 - 118
2020-01-17 @ LAC L 95 - 122
2020-01-19 @ GSW L 95 - 109
2020-01-20 @ CHA W 106 - 83
2020-01-23 vs OKC L 114 - 120
2020-01-24 vs BOS L 98 - 109
2020-01-26 vs LAC L 97 - 112
2020-01-27 @ MIA L 92 - 113
2020-02-01 vs MIA L 89 - 102
2020-02-03 @ CHA W 112 - 100
2020-02-05 @ BOS L 100 - 116
2020-02-06 @ NYK L 103 - 105
2020-02-08 vs MIL L 95 - 111
2020-02-10 vs ATL W 135 - 126
2020-02-12 vs DET W 116 - 112
2020-02-21 vs DAL L 106 - 122
2020-02-25 @ BKN W 115 - 113
2020-02-26 @ ATL W 130 - 120
2020-02-29 vs MIN L 83 - 89
2020-03-01 @ SAS L 113 - 114
2020-03-03 vs POR L 107 - 130
2020-03-05 @ MIA L 113 - 116
2020-03-06 @ MIN W 132 - 118
2020-03-08 @ HOU W 126 - 106
2020-03-11 @ MEM W 120 - 115
2020-07-31 @ BKN W 128 - 118
2020-08-02 vs SAC W 132 - 116
2020-08-04 @ IND L 109 - 120
2020-08-05 vs TOR L 99 - 109
2020-08-07 @ PHI L 101 - 108
2020-08-09 @ BOS L 119 - 122
2020-08-11 vs BKN L 96 - 108
2020-08-13 vs NOP W 133 - 127
2020-08-20 @ MIL L 96 - 111
2020-08-22 vs MIL L 107 - 121
2020-08-24 vs MIL L 106 - 121
2020-08-29 @ MIL L 104 - 118

2020 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nikola Vučević Nikola Vučević C 21 31.8 20.1 10.1 3.7 0.9 0.6 0.0 16.6 18.8 - - - 50.4 31.4 74.0 - 56.9 55.2
Evan Fournier Evan Fournier SG 70 31.0 18.2 2.7 3.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 13.9 11.4 - - - 46.2 39.6 81.0 - 59.1 55.5
Terrence Ross Terrence Ross - 73 26.6 14.5 3.2 1.2 1.1 0.3 0.0 12.1 8.2 - - - 40.2 34.8 85.1 - 54.6 50.5
Aaron Gordon Aaron Gordon SF 62 31.8 14.4 7.6 3.6 0.8 0.6 0.0 12.3 14.6 - - - 43.5 30.8 67.4 - 51.5 48.3
Markelle Fultz Markelle Fultz PG 76 27.2 12.0 3.2 5.1 1.2 0.2 0.0 10.8 11.0 - - - 45.8 27.9 73.2 - 51.1 48.3
Jonathan Isaac Jonathan Isaac SF 34 28.3 11.9 6.8 1.4 1.6 2.3 0.0 9.8 14.2 - - - 47.0 34.0 77.9 - 55.2 51.8
D.J. Augustin D.J. Augustin PG 61 24.4 10.6 2.1 4.6 0.6 0.0 0.0 8.0 9.8 - - - 40.1 35.9 89.4 - 55.9 47.8
James Ennis III James Ennis III SF 24 23.4 8.0 4.8 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.0 6.8 8.0 - - - 42.0 26.3 81.4 - 52.8 48.1
Michael Carter-Williams Michael Carter-Williams - 45 17.8 7.1 3.1 2.4 1.1 0.5 0.0 5.8 8.4 - - - 42.9 29.3 82.8 - 53.5 47.1
Wes Iwundu Wes Iwundu SG 56 17.6 5.7 2.5 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 4.5 5.6 - - - 40.4 36.0 79.8 - 53.6 46.8
Mo Bamba Mo Bamba - 62 13.6 5.3 4.8 0.7 0.4 1.4 0.0 4.6 8.0 - - - 46.1 34.6 67.4 - 54.2 52.6
Khem Birch Khem Birch PF 52 18.7 4.5 4.7 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 3.0 8.1 - - - 51.0 0.0 67.3 - 57.0 51.0
Al-Farouq Aminu Al-Farouq Aminu SF 18 20.5 4.3 4.8 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.0 4.8 7.0 - - - 29.1 25.0 65.5 - 39.5 34.3
Gary Clark Gary Clark PF 28 16.3 3.9 3.3 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.0 3.4 5.1 - - - 40.0 35.0 80.0 - 55.6 54.7
BJ Johnson - 11 7.4 3.0 1.5 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.1 2.0 - - - 29.4 40.0 90.0 - 43.0 35.3
Melvin Frazier Jr. - 19 6.2 2.1 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.8 1.6 - - - 44.1 50.0 50.0 - 55.9 55.9
Vic Law - 9 6.7 2.0 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.1 2.0 - - - 36.8 25.0 33.3 - 41.6 42.1
Josh Magette - 8 4.2 1.5 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.9 1.5 - - - 33.3 25.0 50.0 - 37.8 36.7
Amile Jefferson - 18 3.7 0.8 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.8 1.8 - - - 35.7 0 35.7 - 37.2 35.7

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG