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2020-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 66.0% 34.0% -
Bradley-Terry 44.0% 56.0% -
Margin 45.6% 54.4% +1.0 (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% -
Efficiency 37.1% 62.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.3% 65.7% -
Log Adjusted 34.4% 65.6% -
Points Off/Def 35.1% 64.9% -

Actual: Orlando Magic +4 (116-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Christian Wood * 38 9-14 1-4 7-8 12 1 0 2 26 - -
Reggie Jackson * 35 5-16 2-8 0-0 3 11 0 0 12 - -
Tony Snell * 32 6-8 4-5 0-0 3 5 0 1 16 - -
Thon Maker * 26 6-9 2-3 4-4 2 1 1 1 18 - -
Bruce Brown * 25 1-2 0-0 0-0 10 2 0 0 2 - -
Langston Galloway 30 4-11 3-10 0-0 2 3 0 0 11 - -
Markieff Morris 21 5-7 4-5 0-0 8 1 0 1 14 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 17 2-6 1-4 3-3 3 0 1 0 8 - -
Derrick Rose 17 1-13 0-4 0-0 0 4 1 1 2 - -
Sekou Doumbouya 13 1-6 1-2 0-0 3 0 2 0 3 - -
John Henson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Gordon * 42 8-15 3-4 6-6 9 9 1 1 25 - -
Nikola Vučević * 40 9-21 1-7 0-0 11 7 3 1 19 - -
Markelle Fultz * 39 8-14 1-3 5-6 5 10 2 0 22 - -
Evan Fournier * 38 6-13 4-7 3-4 2 3 2 0 19 - -
Wes Iwundu * 16 5-6 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 11 - -
Terrence Ross 36 2-12 1-9 0-0 2 1 4 1 5 - -
James Ennis III 14 2-4 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 7 - -
Michael Carter-Williams 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 9 3 1 2 0 - -
Khem Birch 12 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 8 - -
Gary Clark 10 0-4 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter