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2020-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 26.9% 73.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 34.4% 65.6% - ✗
Margin 25.1% 74.9% +6.0 ✗ (20.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.6% 48.4% - ✓
Efficiency 57.9% 42.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 57.3% 42.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 57.3% 42.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 51.0% 49.0% - ✓

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -14 (118-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Gordon * 37 6-15 0-4 3-6 10 4 1 1 15 - -
Nikola Vučević * 35 12-21 1-2 3-3 13 4 1 0 28 - -
Markelle Fultz * 27 11-14 0-1 2-5 4 5 1 1 24 - -
James Ennis III * 24 1-2 1-2 0-0 5 3 0 0 3 - -
Wes Iwundu * 22 3-5 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 1 8 - -
Terrence Ross 34 7-10 2-4 0-0 3 4 1 1 16 - -
D.J. Augustin 26 4-7 1-3 9-11 3 5 0 0 18 - -
Michael Carter-Williams 22 6-7 1-2 4-4 2 5 1 0 17 - -
Mo Bamba 7 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 - -
Gary Clark 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Juancho Hernangomez * 30 3-9 1-5 1-2 8 1 1 0 8 - -
Naz Reid * 28 5-14 1-5 5-6 3 3 1 1 16 - -
Malik Beasley * 28 14-21 1-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 29 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 23 2-14 0-4 1-2 5 3 0 0 5 - -
Josh Okogie * 21 1-2 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 27 6-10 2-4 0-0 3 9 1 0 14 - -
Jarrett Culver 26 3-7 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 7 - -
James Johnson 19 3-7 2-5 1-2 2 7 1 2 9 - -
Jake Layman 17 5-8 1-3 3-3 2 1 1 0 14 - -
Jaylen Nowell 12 3-4 0-1 5-5 0 2 1 0 11 - -
Kelan Martin 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter