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2020-08-13

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 23.2% 76.8% -
Bradley-Terry 43.6% 56.4% -
Margin 46.7% 53.3% +0.7 (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -
Efficiency 49.3% 50.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.5% 48.5% -
Log Adjusted 51.5% 48.5% -
Points Off/Def 45.9% 54.1% -

Actual: Orlando Magic +6 (133-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Frank Jackson * 36 12-24 3-9 4-5 2 5 1 0 31 - -
Josh Hart * 35 7-14 3-9 6-8 14 6 1 1 23 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker * 35 11-18 2-6 5-5 1 7 1 0 29 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 30 5-7 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 1 13 - -
Nicolo Melli * 25 2-6 1-5 1-1 5 1 0 0 6 - -
Zylan Cheatham 20 4-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 8 - -
Sindarius Thornwell 19 3-6 1-3 2-4 2 1 0 1 9 - -
Kenrich Williams 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 5 1 2 0 0 - -
Jahlil Okafor 17 4-7 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 8 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Ennis III * 30 6-11 2-4 2-2 4 0 2 0 16 - -
Gary Clark * 29 3-7 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 2 8 - -
Wes Iwundu * 26 4-5 2-2 5-7 4 6 0 0 15 - -
Nikola Vučević * 25 10-11 3-4 0-0 6 3 1 0 23 - -
Markelle Fultz * 24 5-12 0-1 1-2 1 5 1 0 11 - -
Melvin Frazier Jr. 24 4-8 2-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 10 - -
D.J. Augustin 22 7-10 1-3 7-7 4 6 0 0 22 - -
Vic Law 20 4-8 1-3 1-2 4 1 0 0 10 - -
Khem Birch 18 3-6 0-0 3-6 3 2 1 0 9 - -
BJ Johnson 17 2-6 2-2 3-4 2 0 0 0 9 - -

* = starter