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2020-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 41.8% 58.2% -
Bradley-Terry 50.1% 49.9% -
Margin 51.8% 48.2% -0.4 (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 35.4% 64.6% -
Efficiency 20.7% 79.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.7% 75.3% -
Log Adjusted 24.7% 75.3% -
Points Off/Def 27.7% 72.3% -

Actual: Orlando Magic +9 (135-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Huerter * 34 5-13 2-7 0-0 2 7 0 0 12 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 33 4-8 2-2 0-0 3 1 1 1 10 - -
John Collins * 33 10-14 1-3 1-1 8 2 0 1 22 - -
Trae Young * 33 7-19 3-11 12-13 1 9 0 0 29 - -
Damian Jones * 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 4 - -
Dewayne Dedmon 27 5-9 2-4 2-2 9 1 0 2 14 - -
Cam Reddish 24 4-8 2-4 1-1 2 1 1 0 11 - -
Jeff Teague 16 4-5 0-0 0-0 3 11 1 1 8 - -
Vince Carter 14 3-4 3-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 9 - -
Brandon Goodwin 6 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 7 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Gordon * 36 10-20 2-3 4-4 9 4 0 1 26 - -
Nikola Vučević * 33 10-15 4-6 0-1 9 9 0 1 24 - -
Evan Fournier * 32 9-17 3-8 1-1 3 0 2 1 22 - -
Markelle Fultz * 28 5-9 1-4 2-2 1 8 3 0 13 - -
Wes Iwundu * 17 2-2 1-1 3-4 6 3 0 0 8 - -
Terrence Ross 30 8-17 5-10 0-0 1 1 1 1 21 - -
Michael Carter-Williams 19 0-3 0-0 5-6 4 5 1 0 5 - -
James Ennis III 15 2-5 0-2 2-4 5 1 0 0 6 - -
Mo Bamba 14 3-5 1-2 0-0 5 2 2 1 7 - -
Gary Clark 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter