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2020-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 35.5% 64.5% -
Bradley-Terry 63.9% 36.1% -
Margin 72.5% 27.5% -5.3 (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 58.5% 41.5% -
Efficiency 84.5% 15.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.8% 20.2% -
Log Adjusted 79.8% 20.2% -
Points Off/Def 68.4% 31.6% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -16 (95-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 33 6-17 0-0 6-8 18 9 0 2 18 - -
Wesley Matthews * 33 4-10 4-9 0-0 5 0 0 1 12 - -
Khris Middleton * 31 8-15 3-8 2-2 13 6 2 0 21 - -
Brook Lopez * 31 9-13 5-5 0-2 6 1 0 0 23 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 31 7-16 0-5 4-4 4 8 1 1 18 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 26 2-6 0-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 4 - -
Kyle Korver 15 3-8 2-7 0-0 4 0 0 1 8 - -
Pat Connaughton 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 - -
Ersan Ilyasova 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Robin Lopez 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vučević * 34 10-20 0-7 1-2 14 6 0 2 21 - -
Evan Fournier * 33 5-14 4-9 0-0 3 4 2 0 14 - -
Aaron Gordon * 32 2-12 0-6 3-4 9 5 1 0 7 - -
Markelle Fultz * 31 6-18 3-7 0-0 3 2 3 0 15 - -
Wes Iwundu * 23 1-6 0-2 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 - -
Terrence Ross 31 7-14 1-4 5-6 4 3 0 0 20 - -
Michael Carter-Williams 22 3-6 0-1 0-0 4 6 2 1 6 - -
Gary Clark 15 2-3 2-3 2-2 4 0 0 1 8 - -
Mo Bamba 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 2 2 - -
Melvin Frazier Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Vic Law 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter