Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.4% | 32.6% | -4.0 | ✓ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -16 (106-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 35 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Luka Dončić * | 34 | 10-21 | 4-8 | 9-12 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porziņģis * | 33 | 8-16 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 24 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 32 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 23 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 22 | 10-13 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vučević * | 37 | 12-27 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 34 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Evan Fournier * | 33 | 10-19 | 5-12 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 25 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| James Ennis III * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 27 | 5-16 | 3-8 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Michael Carter-Williams | 25 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Gary Clark | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter