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2020-08-02

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 26.1% 73.9% -
Bradley-Terry 46.5% 53.5% -
Margin 46.6% 53.4% +0.7 (15.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% -
Efficiency 43.4% 56.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.2% 53.8% -
Log Adjusted 46.2% 53.8% -
Points Off/Def 41.9% 58.1% -

Actual: Orlando Magic +16 (132-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bogdan Bogdanović * 31 4-13 2-4 2-2 4 5 1 0 12 9 -
De'Aaron Fox * 25 5-10 0-1 3-5 2 3 1 0 13 9 -
Harrison Barnes * 24 4-8 0-3 4-4 6 0 0 0 12 10 -
Richaun Holmes * 24 5-7 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 12 10 -
Nemanja Bjelica * 19 1-4 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 2 -
Buddy Hield 20 5-13 2-7 0-0 2 5 1 0 12 7 -
Harry Giles III 19 9-11 0-1 5-6 8 1 0 0 23 21 -
Kent Bazemore 17 3-7 2-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 8 5 -
Cory Joseph 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 6 1 0 0 6 -
Corey Brewer 16 2-4 0-1 0-1 4 1 3 0 4 8 -
DaQuan Jeffries 12 5-5 2-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 12 11 -
Yogi Ferrell 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 4 -
Jabari Parker 6 1-5 0-1 2-2 1 1 1 0 4 2 -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Gordon * 24 8-12 3-3 3-3 5 3 0 0 22 18 -
Nikola Vučević * 23 9-14 2-3 3-4 12 2 2 0 23 25 -
James Ennis III * 21 3-10 1-7 1-1 5 1 1 0 8 5 -
Evan Fournier * 21 2-6 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 4 3 -
D.J. Augustin * 20 3-5 3-4 1-1 0 8 0 0 10 13 -
Michael Carter-Williams 29 3-6 1-3 5-6 5 3 3 2 12 19 -
Terrence Ross 22 6-10 5-9 8-10 2 1 1 0 25 19 -
Markelle Fultz 19 6-9 2-2 0-2 0 3 0 0 14 8 -
Khem Birch 18 0-1 0-0 5-6 5 1 0 0 5 10 -
Jonathan Isaac 14 1-3 0-1 2-2 3 4 2 0 4 10 -
Gary Clark 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 1 3 8 -
Wes Iwundu 7 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 -
Mo Bamba 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter