Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017

Also known as: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Program History

Coach: Shane Burcar

Model Outputs

2011-2012

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	943 (#747)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	1126 (#302)	-
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More →	+13.0 (#374)	HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.075 (#112)	-
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -32.8 More →	0.022 (#117)	AdjNet -32.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -33.1 More →	0.022 (#117)	AdjNet -33.1

2012 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2011-11-11	@	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	L	66 - 83
2011-11-12	@	San Francisco Dons	L	50 - 69
2011-11-13	vs	North Dakota State Bison	L	58 - 70
2011-11-18	vs	Arizona Christian Firestorm	W	103 - 42
2011-11-22	vs	Northern New Mexico Eagles	W	80 - 49
2011-11-26	@	Loyola Marymount Lions	L	61 - 81
2011-11-30	vs	BYU Cougars	L	52 - 87
2011-12-03	@	Arizona Wildcats	L	39 - 53
2011-12-07	vs	Pepperdine Waves	L	40 - 49
2011-12-10	vs	Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners	W	80 - 67
2011-12-17	@	Arizona State Sun Devils	W	69 - 68
2011-12-20	@	Sam Houston Bearkats	L	49 - 73
2011-12-29	vs	Sacramento State Hornets	W	73 - 64
2011-12-31	@	Northern Colorado Bears	L	64 - 80
2012-01-05	@	Portland State Vikings	L	62 - 82
2012-01-07	@	Eastern Washington Eagles	L	59 - 76
2012-01-14	vs	Montana State Bobcats	L	72 - 74
2012-01-19	@	Weber State Wildcats	L	67 - 81
2012-01-28	@	Sacramento State Hornets	L	43 - 77
2012-01-30	vs	Northern Colorado Bears	L	62 - 64
2012-02-04	vs	Portland State Vikings	L	65 - 76
2012-02-09	vs	Weber State Wildcats	L	49 - 67
2012-02-18	vs	UC Davis Aggies	L	65 - 70
2012-02-23	@	Montana Grizzlies	L	60 - 78
2012-02-27	@	Montana State Bobcats	L	60 - 79

2012 Roster

Show Alumni

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
J. Douglas	G	24	29.6	12.3	2.5	2.1	1.1	0.0	2.2	1.5	14.3	-	-	-	25.0	25.0	71.4	-	349.9	30.6
G. Rogers	G	14	28.8	10.1	1.2	2.7	0.3	0.1	2.4	4.7	7.2	-	-	-	34.8	33.3	100.0	-	102.7	41.7
D. Norman	G	25	26.6	9.8	6.0	1.2	1.0	0.3	1.5	1.6	15.1	-	-	-	52.5	60.0	73.9	-	244.4	56.2
S. Saldivar	G	25	31.8	6.8	3.6	5.1	1.0	0.0	2.3	1.6	12.7	-	-	-	36.6	26.7	100.0	-	203.0	41.5
M. Dunn	G	25	23.2	6.3	2.8	1.9	1.0	0.2	1.6	1.3	9.3	-	-	-	51.5	50.0	69.2	-	204.0	63.6
G. Bewernick	F	25	22.0	6.3	5.4	0.6	0.8	0.4	1.2	1.1	11.2	-	-	-	59.3	0	50.0	-	274.7	59.3
E. Ekanem	F	24	16.6	5.1	3.6	0.3	0.5	0.4	0.8	1.1	8.0	-	-	-	55.6	0	50.0	-	195.9	55.6
C. Gruber	F	23	13.0	4.3	1.0	0.7	0.3	0.3	1.0	0.8	4.9	-	-	-	33.3	27.3	100.0	-	245.0	41.7
M. Jacobsen	F	15	11.0	2.7	1.7	0.5	0.4	0.1	1.0	0.9	3.5	-	-	-	46.2	0	75.0	-	135.5	46.2
D. Cheek	-	16	7.9	2.6	0.8	0.3	0.4	0.1	0.7	0.4	2.9	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0	-	292.9	0.0
B. Olayinka	F	20	8.7	2.2	2.0	0.2	0.1	0.7	0.9	0.8	3.5	-	-	-	43.8	0	63.6	-	105.6	43.8
L. Flores	G	20	6.8	1.4	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.6	0.5	1.3	-	-	-	22.2	0.0	0	-	150.0	22.2
C. Heine	G	3	4.0	1.3	0.3	0.0	0.3	0.0	0.3	0.3	1.3	-	-	-	100.0	0	0	-	200.0	100.0
C. Weaver	-	3	4.3	1.0	1.0	0.7	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.3	2.7	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0	0.07	150.0	0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG