Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.8% | 39.2% | -2.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -5 (65-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #46690 * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| T. Les * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| J. Ritchart * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| E. Miller * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| J.T. Adenrele * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| H. DuPont | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 25 | - |
| A. Malik | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T. Corbin | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| A. Tiffin | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Douglas * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| S. Saldivar * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | - |
| D. Norman * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 34 | - |
| G. Bewernick * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 27 | - |
| L. Flores * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Dunn | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - |
| E. Ekanem | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| C. Gruber | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter