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Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 60
@
Montana State Bobcats 79
2012-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Montana State Bobcats Spread Result
Elo 9.1% 90.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 29.0% 71.0% - ✓
Margin 14.3% 85.7% +9.8 ✓ (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 35.2% 64.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 43.5% 56.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 43.8% 56.2% - ✓

Actual: Montana State Bobcats +19 (79-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Norman * 36 6-10 1-3 4-4 9 0 2 0 0 17 18 -
J. Douglas * 34 3-9 2-6 3-4 2 1 2 0 3 11 4 -
M. Dunn * 32 0-5 0-3 2-2 3 6 1 0 6 2 1 -
G. Bewernick * 28 4-4 0-0 2-3 6 0 2 0 1 10 13 -
S. Saldivar * 26 3-5 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 8 6 -
G. Rogers 24 4-13 2-5 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 10 -1 -
B. Olayinka 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 2 2 1 -
L. Flores 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Gruber 3 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Reid * 35 7-12 6-9 3-4 3 1 0 0 3 23 12 -
Player #60156 * 34 5-11 3-6 2-3 4 2 2 0 1 15 11 -
R. Singleton * 32 2-7 0-2 0-0 4 6 0 0 4 4 3 -
Player #56192 * 22 5-8 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 1 10 10 -
J. Allou * 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 4 5 -
T. Johnson 27 6-9 0-0 2-2 9 1 1 2 0 14 18 -
M. Dison 19 2-4 2-4 0-0 4 7 0 0 1 6 12 -
J. Budinich 15 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
B. Brumwell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Davis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter