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Northern Colorado Bears 64
@
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 62
2012-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 71.5% 28.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 60.5% 39.5% - ✓
Margin 65.4% 34.6% -3.5 ✓ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 77.5% 22.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 90.3% 9.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 90.4% 9.6% - ✓

Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -2 (62-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Svihovec 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 2 0 1 11 20 -
T. Unruh 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 16 18 -
M. Proctor 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 17 3 2 2 3 6 27 -
T. Huskisson 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 1 5 12 -
E. Addo 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 2 17 23 -
P. Garnica 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 3 6 -
B. Keane 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 4 8 -
C. Osborne 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
X. James 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Douglas 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 5 2 0 0 22 35 -
M. Dunn 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 4 1 1 4 13 24 -
S. Saldivar 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 8 2 0 0 7 20 -
G. Bewernick 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 0 4 13 -
D. Norman 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 3 1 11 20 -
E. Ekanem 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 3 8 -
G. Rogers 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 2 -
B. Olayinka 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
L. Flores 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
C. Gruber 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter