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Pepperdine Waves 49
@
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 40
2011-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Pepperdine Waves Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 57.2% 42.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 57.9% 42.1% - ✓
Margin 64.5% 35.5% -3.3 ✓ (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 84.9% 15.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 93.7% 6.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 93.8% 6.2% - ✓

Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -9 (40-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lowery * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 3 7 11 -
C. Moore * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 1 3 4 11 22 -
C. Willis * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 1 0 2 5 13 -
T. Darby * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 7 11 -
J. Baker * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
N. Skouen 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 8 9 -
H. Harold 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 7 11 -
R. Eaton 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 4 6 -
J. Maehlen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Saldivar * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 3 0 1 10 19 -
D. Norman * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 7 12 -
M. Dunn * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 3 -
E. Ekanem * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 1 1 2 11 -
C. Gruber * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 3 0 3 4 5 -
J. Douglas 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 10 15 -
G. Bewernick 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 5 10 -
M. Jacobsen 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
L. Flores 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter