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2011-11-12

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 5.0% 95.0% -
Bradley-Terry 80.9% 19.1% -
Margin 3.2% 96.8% +18.8 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 10.1% 89.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons +19 (69-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Saldivar * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 3 2 9 -
D. Norman * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 2 5 -
C. Gruber * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 3 14 17 -
E. Ekanem * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 0 1 2 10 -
M. Dunn * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 2 3 -
J. Douglas 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 5 8 8 -
G. Bewernick 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 7 10 -
D. Cheek 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 13 13 -
M. Jacobsen 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
B. Olayinka 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 0 3 -
L. Flores 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Caloiaro * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 2 6 0 1 7 25 -
M. Williams * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 3 16 16 -
R. Green * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 5 11 16 -
C. Doolin * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 6 13 -
P. Blackwell * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 6 7 -
D. O'Connor 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 1 2 5 7 -
C. Dickerson 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 1 1 12 20 -
A. Johnson 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
J. Raffington 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 3 0 -
C. Adams 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
G. Hoffmann 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Murphy 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter