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2012-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 13.1% 86.9% -
Bradley-Terry 20.1% 79.9% -
Margin 9.4% 90.6% +12.4 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 7.0% 93.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Montana Grizzlies +18 (78-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Rogers * 35 7-19 4-8 0-0 0 1 1 0 4 18 -3 -
G. Bewernick * 32 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 2 0 4 8 -
J. Douglas * 19 0-5 0-2 2-2 3 3 1 0 1 2 3 -
B. Olayinka * 15 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 3 3 6 4 -
Player #56194 * 7 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -
M. Dunn 27 3-5 1-1 0-1 2 0 3 1 3 7 5 -
S. Saldivar 25 3-7 1-3 0-0 9 3 1 0 4 7 9 -
D. Norman 21 2-4 2-2 5-6 5 2 0 0 5 11 9 -
E. Ekanem 11 2-5 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 1 0 5 5 -
C. Gruber 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
L. Flores 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Jamar * 34 5-9 2-3 2-2 3 4 0 1 2 14 11 -
D. Selvig * 34 7-12 2-4 3-4 8 6 3 4 6 19 22 -
W. Cherry * 34 4-11 2-7 1-1 5 3 4 1 2 11 11 -
M. Ward * 30 5-8 0-0 3-4 3 3 1 0 0 13 12 -
A. Steward * 27 4-7 0-2 0-0 3 2 4 0 2 8 8 -
S. Stockton 21 3-7 1-3 0-0 2 3 3 0 1 7 7 -
E. Hutchison 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
K. Deshields 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
J. Wood 3 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
K. Henderson 3 1-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
J. Gregory 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Weisner 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -

* = starter