Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.4% | 90.6% | +12.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +18 (78-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Rogers * | 35 | 7-19 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | -3 | - |
| G. Bewernick * | 32 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Douglas * | 19 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Olayinka * | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Player #56194 * | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| M. Dunn | 27 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| S. Saldivar | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | - |
| D. Norman | 21 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 9 | - |
| E. Ekanem | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Gruber | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| L. Flores | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Jamar * | 34 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| D. Selvig * | 34 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 22 | - |
| W. Cherry * | 34 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| M. Ward * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| A. Steward * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| S. Stockton | 21 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| E. Hutchison | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Deshields | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Wood | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Henderson | 3 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Gregory | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Weisner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter