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Montana State Bobcats 74
@
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 72
2012-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Montana State Bobcats Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 83.3% 16.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 57.9% 42.1% - ✓
Margin 66.1% 33.9% -3.7 ✓ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 58.8% 41.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 50.5% 49.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 50.2% 49.8% - ✓

Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -2 (72-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
X. Blount * 30 8-11 3-5 2-4 3 3 1 0 6 21 11 -
T. Johnson * 29 3-8 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 2 2 8 7 -
M. Fall * 28 3-5 0-0 2-4 9 3 1 2 3 8 15 -
C. Moon * 28 5-10 2-6 0-0 1 2 2 0 3 12 4 -
R. Singleton * 22 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 6 0 0 3 2 3 -
S. Reid 22 7-11 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 16 5 -
M. Dison 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 5 3 0 2 2 10 -
J. Budinich 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 3 4 -
J. Allou 12 1-1 0-0 0-4 3 0 1 0 1 2 4 -

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Saldivar * 34 2-9 1-4 2-2 2 7 1 0 5 7 3 -
G. Rogers * 32 3-12 0-5 2-2 4 4 1 0 3 8 2 -
D. Norman * 26 4-7 0-0 2-2 2 2 1 0 2 10 6 -
M. Dunn * 25 2-3 0-1 3-4 4 0 4 0 0 7 12 -
E. Ekanem * 17 4-7 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 1 10 8 -
J. Douglas 27 4-11 2-5 3-4 6 4 3 0 0 13 15 -
G. Bewernick 16 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 8 5 -
B. Olayinka 14 1-4 0-0 5-7 3 0 1 2 1 7 8 -
M. Jacobsen 7 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
D. Cheek 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter