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2011-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Northern Colorado Bears Spread Result
Elo 16.7% 83.3% -
Bradley-Terry 26.9% 73.1% -
Margin 14.7% 85.3% +9.7 (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 16.5% 83.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.7% 96.3% -
Log Adjusted 3.6% 96.4% -

Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +16 (80-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Saldivar * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 2 0 1 6 15 -
G. Rogers * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 3 18 18 -
J. Douglas * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 5 0 0 1 16 20 -
D. Norman * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 0 3 8 16 -
G. Bewernick * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
M. Dunn 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 7 -
M. Jacobsen 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 6 6 -
B. Olayinka 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 2 6 -
E. Ekanem 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
L. Flores 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Gruber 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Cheek 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Proctor * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 2 1 0 3 13 26 -
E. Lloyd * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 2 2 4 9 -
T. Svihovec * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 11 14 -
T. Unruh * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 1 0 13 20 -
C. Osborne * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 1 14 22 -
P. Garnica 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 4 11 14 -
E. Addo 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 9 12 -
T. Huskisson 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
A. Hawk-Harris 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
B. Keane 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
B. Douvier 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter