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2011-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Northern Colorado Bears Spread Result
Elo 16.7% 83.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 19.8% 80.2% - โœ“
Margin 6.8% 93.2% +14.4 โœ“ (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 17.3% 82.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 3.1% 96.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 3.1% 96.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 22.4% 77.6% - โœ“

Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +16 (80-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stallon Saldivar * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 2 0 1 6 15 -
Gabe Rogers * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 3 18 18 -
James Douglas * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 5 0 0 1 16 20 -
Durrell Norman * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 0 3 8 16 -
Gaellen Bewernick * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
Michael Dunn 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 7 -
Max Jacobsen 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 6 6 -
Ben Olayinka 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 2 6 -
Ephraim Ekanem 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Luis Flores 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Colin Gruber 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Danny Cheek 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Proctor * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 2 1 0 3 13 26 -
Elliott Lloyd * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 2 2 4 9 -
Tevin Svihovec * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 11 14 -
Tate Unruh * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 1 0 13 20 -
Connor Osborne * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 1 14 22 -
Paul Garnica 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 4 11 14 -
Emmanuel Addo 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 9 12 -
Tim Huskisson 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
Aaron Hawk-Harris 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Brendan Keane 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Bryce Douvier 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter