Model Predictions
| Model | Portland State Vikings | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.4% | 27.6% | -7.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.5% | 16.5% | -8.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -11 (65-76). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Portland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Harthun * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Lateef McMullan * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Charles Odum * | 29 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 6-7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Chehales Tapscott * | 25 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Nate Lozeau * | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Renado Parker | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Gary Winston | 23 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Martin Whitmore | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Harvey | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Cataldo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Dunn * | 36 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Gaellen Bewernick * | 35 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Ephraim Ekanem * | 31 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Gabe Rogers * | 29 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Stallon Saldivar * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| James Douglas | 31 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Ben Olayinka | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Danny Cheek | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Durrell Norman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Luis Flores | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Colin Gruber | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter