Model Predictions
| Model | Weber State Wildcats | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.0% | 11.0% | -15.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 92.5% | 7.5% | -13.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.9% | 5.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.9% | 5.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -18 (49-67). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Weber State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tresnak * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 18 | - |
| Damian Lillard * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Darin Mahoney * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Scott Bamforth * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Bullinger * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Gelaun Wheelwright | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Byron Fulton | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 25 | - |
| Jordan Richardson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Dunn * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 20 | - |
| Gabe Rogers * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Ephraim Ekanem * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| James Douglas * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Gaellan Bewernick * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | - |
| Durrell Norman | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Stallon Saldivar | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Colin Gruber | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Ben Olayinka | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Luis Flores | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter