Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.6% | 97.4% | +23.7 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.6% | 99.4% | +28.0 | ✓ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +14 (53-39). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stallon Saldivar * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Durrell Norman * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| James Douglas * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Colin Gruber * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Ephraim Ekanem * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Michael Dunn | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Max Jacobsen | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Gaellen Bewernick | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Luis Flores | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ben Olayinka | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solomon Hill * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Jesse Perry * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Kyle Fogg * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Nick Johnson * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Jordin Mayes * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Josiah Turner | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Brendon Lavender | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Kevin Parrom | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Angelo Chol | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter