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Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 39
@
Arizona Wildcats 53
2011-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 0.3% 99.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 55.5% 44.5% - ✗
Margin 0.4% 99.6% +30.7 ✓ (16.7 off)
Pythagorean 6.9% 93.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - ✓

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +14 (53-39). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Saldivar * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 7 15 -
D. Norman * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 1 2 10 -
J. Douglas * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 2 4 10 -
C. Gruber * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 13 15 -
E. Ekanem * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
M. Dunn 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 2 0 1 7 10 -
M. Jacobsen 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 2 2 -
G. Bewernick 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 4 -
L. Flores 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Olayinka 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Hill * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 1 0 3 15 23 -
J. Perry * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 1 6 13 -
K. Fogg * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 11 16 -
N. Johnson * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 9 14 -
J. Mayes * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Turner 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 5 11 -
B. Lavender 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 6 -
K. Parrom 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
A. Chol 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 1 2 5 -

* = starter