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2011-11-30

Model Predictions

Model BYU Cougars Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 98.8% 1.2% -
Bradley-Terry 86.7% 13.3% -
Margin 96.7% 3.3% -18.6 (16.4 off)
Pythagorean 86.9% 13.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 96.7% 3.3% -
Log Adjusted 96.7% 3.3% -

Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -35 (52-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Davies * 28 6-9 0-0 2-2 9 3 1 0 0 14 18 -
N. Hartsock * 26 4-10 1-3 2-2 4 2 2 3 0 11 12 -
B. Zylstra * 26 8-10 5-6 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 23 17 -
A. Winder * 22 1-3 0-1 1-2 2 9 3 2 3 3 13 -
C. Abouo * 14 3-8 1-3 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 9 4 -
S. Rogers 27 3-6 2-5 0-0 6 3 0 0 0 8 11 -
J. Sharp 16 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 2 0 -
D. Harrison 14 2-8 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 -2 -
C. Cusick 13 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 2 1 -
N. Austin 9 5-6 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 11 10 -
N. Martineau 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Douglas * 29 2-6 0-1 2-4 2 3 1 0 5 6 1 -
C. Gruber * 22 4-6 3-5 2-2 2 0 0 0 3 13 6 -
G. Bewernick * 22 2-4 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 2 2 4 5 -
S. Saldivar * 21 0-4 0-1 0-0 5 6 0 0 3 0 4 -
E. Ekanem * 17 2-5 0-0 1-3 3 1 1 1 2 5 4 -
M. Dunn 27 2-6 2-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 6 2 -
D. Norman 20 1-5 0-0 2-4 6 2 2 1 1 4 9 -
L. Flores 14 2-7 0-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 -4 -
M. Jacobsen 14 4-6 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 8 5 -
D. Cheek 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
C. Weaver 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
B. Olayinka 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Heine 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter