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North Carolina

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: North Carolina Tar Heels
Program History
Coach: Roy Williams

2019 Team Stats (30 games)

85.3
PPG
73.4
Opp
+12.5
Margin
46.2%
FG%
35.6%
3P%
74.3%
FT%
44.2
RPG
18.2
APG
13.3
TO
89.0
Pace

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1505 (#39) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1509 (#30) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +39.4 (#18) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.800 (#11) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +10.9 More → 0.768 (#12) NetEff +10.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +22.2 More → 0.929 (#9) AdjNet +22.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +22.4 More → 0.930 (#9) AdjNet +22.4

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 @ Wofford Terriers W 78 - 67
2018-11-09 @ Elon Phoenix W 116 - 67
2018-11-12 vs Stanford Cardinal W 90 - 72
2018-11-19 vs Saint Francis Red Flash W 101 - 76
2018-11-22 vs Texas Longhorns L 89 - 92
2018-12-05 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 97 - 69
2018-12-15 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs W 103 - 90
2018-12-29 vs Davidson Wildcats W 82 - 60
2019-01-02 vs Harvard Crimson W 77 - 57
2019-01-08 @ NC State Wolfpack W 90 - 82
2019-01-12 vs Louisville Cardinals L 62 - 83
2019-01-15 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 75 - 69
2019-01-19 @ Miami Hurricanes W 85 - 76
2019-01-21 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 103 - 82
2019-01-29 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 77 - 54
2019-02-02 @ Louisville Cardinals W 79 - 69
2019-02-05 vs NC State Wolfpack W 113 - 96
2019-02-09 vs Miami Hurricanes W 88 - 85
2019-02-11 vs Virginia Cavaliers L 61 - 69
2019-02-16 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 95 - 57
2019-02-20 @ Duke Blue Devils W 88 - 72
2019-02-23 vs Florida State Seminoles W 77 - 59
2019-02-26 vs Syracuse Orange W 93 - 85
2019-03-02 @ Clemson Tigers W 81 - 79
2019-03-05 @ Boston College Eagles W 79 - 66
2019-03-09 vs Duke Blue Devils W 79 - 70
2019-03-14 vs Louisville Cardinals W 83 - 70
2019-03-15 vs Duke Blue Devils L 73 - 74
2019-03-22 vs Iona Gaels W 88 - 73
2019-03-24 vs Washington Huskies W 81 - 59
2019-03-29 vs Auburn Tigers L 80 - 97

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C. Johnson C. Johnson - 31 30.4 17.6 5.8 2.5 1.2 0.3 1.5 12.0 14.0 44 3.7 4.3 50.9 46.0 82.8 1.06 66.0 62.7
C. White C. White - 30 29.1 16.3 3.7 4.1 1.2 0.3 2.6 13.0 9.9 -8 -0.8 -4.1 41.6 35.3 81.0 0.14 55.7 50.9
L. Maye L. Maye F 31 31.2 14.8 10.6 2.5 0.6 0.5 2.1 13.0 13.9 - - - 42.6 27.1 77.7 - 50.7 46.2
Nassir Little Nassir Little - 31 18.3 10.2 4.8 0.5 0.6 0.5 1.4 7.6 7.6 - - - 49.4 31.1 79.8 - 57.5 52.3
K. Williams K. Williams G 31 30.7 8.4 3.9 3.5 0.9 0.3 1.7 7.3 8.0 22 2.2 6.5 39.2 29.1 80.0 0.68 51.6 47.4
G. Brooks G. Brooks C 31 23.3 8.1 5.5 1.2 0.5 0.4 0.8 5.7 9.2 - - - 58.0 0 62.2 - 59.9 58.0
B. Robinson B. Robinson G 30 11.9 3.4 1.6 1.4 0.2 0.2 0.5 2.4 3.9 -68 -4.2 -5.6 50.7 47.7 66.7 0.16 66.4 65.5
S. Manley S. Manley - 14 7.9 3.3 3.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.6 2.4 4.1 - - - 52.9 0 52.6 - 54.3 52.9
L. Black L. Black - 18 9.4 2.2 2.0 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.6 1.8 3.7 - - - 51.5 25.0 80.0 - 56.8 54.5
S. Woods S. Woods G 30 10.4 2.1 1.0 1.9 0.9 0.1 1.6 1.9 2.5 - - - 41.1 37.5 65.0 - 47.8 43.8
A. Platek A. Platek - 27 3.7 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.7 - - - 50.0 25.0 50.0 - 56.3 56.2
B. Huffman B. Huffman C 22 2.4 1.1 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8 1.5 - - - 58.8 0 41.7 - 56.1 58.8
W. Miller W. Miller F 14 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.5 - - - 54.5 0 33.3 -0.16 52.8 54.5
K.J. Smith K.J. Smith G 17 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 - - - 45.5 50.0 50.0 -0.04 58.9 59.1
C. Ellis C. Ellis F 14 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.6 - - - 75.0 100.0 33.3 - 75.2 87.5
S. Rush S. Rush F 14 1.5 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 - - - 0.0 0.0 40.0 - 16.1 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG