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2018-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 46.0% 54.0% -
Bradley-Terry 49.5% 50.5% -
Margin 32.9% 67.1% +3.9 (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 37.4% 62.6% -
Efficiency 5.5% 94.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.1% 74.9% -
Log Adjusted 25.1% 74.9% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -3 (89-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Roach * 34 12-15 3-3 5-7 6 7 4 0 3 32 31 -
D. Osetkowski * 33 4-8 2-6 4-6 5 1 1 1 2 14 12 -
M. Coleman III * 32 5-12 2-3 4-8 1 5 0 0 4 16 6 -
J. Febres * 23 2-5 2-4 1-2 3 0 1 0 0 7 6 -
J. Sims * 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Hayes 25 5-5 0-0 5-6 9 0 0 3 2 15 20 -
E. Mitrou-Long 18 2-9 2-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 6 -4 -
C. Ramey 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
K. Hepa 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Maye * 34 5-15 1-5 0-0 9 0 0 0 1 11 4 -
C. Johnson * 33 6-14 1-6 3-4 3 2 3 0 1 16 9 -
C. White * 30 10-17 7-10 6-7 2 3 0 0 2 33 19 -
K. Williams * 28 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 5 0 1 2 2 3 -
G. Brooks * 21 3-5 0-0 3-5 8 1 1 0 2 9 12 -
N. Little 21 3-9 1-5 4-5 6 0 0 0 2 11 6 -
L. Black 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
S. Manley 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 4 0 0 -
B. Robinson 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 3 4 -
A. Platek 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter