Model Predictions
| Model | Harvard Crimson | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.1% | 97.9% | +21.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +20 (77-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Harvard Crimson
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Juzang * | 30 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Bassey * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | - |
| C. Lewis * | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| C. Johnson * | 21 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -6 | - |
| D. Djuricic * | 15 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| M. Forbes | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| N. Kirkwood | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| R. Baker | 13 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| H. Welsh | 11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| S. Freedman | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -5 | - |
| R. Haskett | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| K. Catchings | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. McCarthy | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Johnson * | 31 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 3 | - |
| L. Maye * | 28 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| K. Williams * | 28 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| C. White * | 27 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| G. Brooks * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| N. Little | 22 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| B. Robinson | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Woods | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Black | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| B. Huffman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Platek | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K.J. Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Ellis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Rush | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter