Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.1% | 33.9% | -3.7 | ✗ (16.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +13 (103-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Perkins * | 38 | 7-13 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Z. Norvell Jr. * | 37 | 7-17 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 6 | - |
| R. Hachimura * | 35 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| B. Clarke * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| C. Kispert * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Jones | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| F. Petrusev | 11 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| G. Foster Jr. | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Ayayi | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Maye * | 31 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 25 | - |
| K. Williams * | 31 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | - |
| C. Johnson * | 31 | 8-12 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 19 | - |
| G. Brooks * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 17 | - |
| C. White * | 22 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 4 | - |
| N. Little | 21 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| S. Woods | 17 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| S. Manley | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Robinson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Black | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Platek | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Miller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Huffman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K.J. Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Rush | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Ellis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter