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2019-01-08

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 53.8% 46.2% -
Bradley-Terry 43.6% 56.4% -
Margin 59.9% 40.1% -2.2 (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 69.0% 31.0% -
Efficiency 88.6% 11.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.1% 10.9% -
Log Adjusted 89.3% 10.7% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack -8 (82-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Maye * 36 6-13 2-5 7-8 11 3 0 0 7 21 15 -
K. Williams * 34 5-12 2-5 3-4 10 2 1 0 3 15 13 -
C. White * 30 7-14 1-5 4-6 5 4 0 0 5 19 9 -
G. Brooks * 24 3-4 0-0 5-5 7 5 0 1 0 11 20 -
C. Johnson * 23 4-11 4-7 3-3 11 5 1 1 1 15 21 -
N. Little 17 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -3 -
B. Robinson 16 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 2 0 3 4 -
L. Black 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 2 4 2 -
S. Woods 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 0 -2 -
A. Platek 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C.J. Bryce * 33 4-10 1-4 4-6 3 4 3 1 1 13 13 -
T. Dorn * 27 5-12 0-4 2-2 10 1 1 2 1 12 13 -
M. Johnson * 25 4-12 1-7 2-3 0 4 4 0 5 11 2 -
D. Daniels * 22 0-4 0-2 1-2 2 1 1 1 2 1 0 -
W. Walker * 16 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 2 4 -
B. Beverly 34 8-14 5-7 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 21 11 -
DJ Funderburk 22 6-7 0-0 3-3 5 0 1 2 0 15 16 -
J. Hellems 15 3-8 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 7 2 -
B. Harris 6 0-2 0-0 0-1 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter