Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.1% | 47.9% | -0.5 | ✓ (16.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -17 (80-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Okeke | 25 | 8-11 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 23 | - |
| M. Dunbar | 23 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| B. Brown * | 32 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| J. Harper * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| M. Dunbar * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| A. McLemore * | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. McCormick | 21 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| S. Doughty | 20 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| H. Spencer | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Purifoy | 12 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| A. Wiley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| C. Blackstock | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Macoy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Parker | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Williams * | 34 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| C. White * | 31 | 4-15 | 0-7 | 7-8 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| C. Johnson * | 29 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| L. Maye * | 28 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| G. Brooks * | 28 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| B. Robinson | 16 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| N. Little | 13 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| S. Woods | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Black | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Platek | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| S. Manley | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K.J. Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter