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2019-03-24

Model Predictions

Model Washington Huskies North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 29.8% 70.2% -
Bradley-Terry 24.5% 75.5% -
Margin 12.1% 87.9% +10.9 (11.1 off)
Pythagorean 34.5% 65.5% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +22 (81-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Thybulle * 36 1-8 0-5 0-0 2 4 4 3 2 2 5 -
J. Nowell * 34 6-11 0-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 12 5 -
D. Crisp * 29 2-9 2-6 2-3 0 1 1 0 3 8 -2 -
N. Dickerson * 27 4-7 0-0 2-5 6 1 1 2 2 10 11 -
H. Wright * 17 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
D. Green 18 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 -
N. Carter 16 4-11 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 10 2 -
J. Bey 12 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
S. Timmins 7 1-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
E. Hardy 1 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
J. Crandall 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Rice 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Q. Barnard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. White * 35 6-11 4-7 1-2 6 2 1 0 2 17 13 -
C. Johnson * 34 5-10 3-8 0-0 3 7 0 0 0 13 13 -
L. Maye * 33 8-19 1-2 3-3 14 0 0 0 3 20 12 -
K. Williams * 27 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 3 3 0 4 2 5 -
G. Brooks * 21 2-4 0-0 1-2 5 3 1 0 1 5 9 -
N. Little 21 8-11 1-1 3-3 7 0 0 1 3 20 14 -
B. Robinson 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 4 -
S. Woods 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
L. Black 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
S. Manley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K.J. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Platek 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
W. Miller 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Ellis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Huffman 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter