Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.8% | 80.2% | +7.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +17 (113-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Bryce * | 29 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| B. Beverly * | 28 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| T. Dorn * | 27 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| M. Johnson * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| W. Walker * | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| DJ Funderburk | 20 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| E. Lockett | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Daniels | 18 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -4 | - |
| J. Hellems | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| B. Harris | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Williams * | 30 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| L. Maye * | 27 | 10-15 | 1-4 | 10-10 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 28 | - |
| C. White * | 27 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| C. Johnson * | 25 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| G. Brooks * | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20 | - |
| N. Little | 25 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| B. Robinson | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| S. Woods | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Platek | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| W. Miller | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K.J. Smith | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Huffman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Ellis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Rush | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter