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2019-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 30.4% 69.6% -
Bradley-Terry 36.1% 63.9% -
Margin 21.4% 78.6% +7.2 (13.8 off)
Pythagorean 41.6% 58.4% -
Efficiency 58.6% 41.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.2% 72.8% -
Log Adjusted 27.4% 72.6% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +21 (103-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Hill * 38 7-16 4-7 2-2 3 2 2 0 4 20 7 -
K. Blackshear Jr. * 37 6-15 0-0 7-7 17 5 0 1 2 19 25 -
N. Alexander-Walker * 30 7-14 5-10 0-0 3 3 3 0 2 19 12 -
J. Robinson * 29 4-6 3-4 6-7 2 6 2 0 3 17 18 -
W. Bede * 23 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 2 -1 -
T. Outlaw 30 1-6 1-6 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 3 2 -
I. Wilkins 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Maye * 30 5-8 4-5 0-0 5 3 1 1 2 14 14 -
C. White * 30 9-16 5-11 4-5 7 6 4 1 3 27 26 -
G. Brooks * 29 5-7 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 0 0 12 10 -
C. Johnson * 29 3-8 2-6 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 8 7 -
K. Williams * 27 4-7 2-5 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 10 7 -
N. Little 20 7-12 2-3 7-7 6 3 1 0 2 23 19 -
B. Robinson 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Black 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 3 4 -
S. Woods 7 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 3 2 2 -
A. Platek 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K.J. Smith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
W. Miller 2 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
B. Huffman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Rush 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter