Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.7% | 36.3% | -3.1 | ✓ (34.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.4% | 3.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -38 (57-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Johnson * | 30 | 10-13 | 7-10 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 22 | - |
| C. White * | 28 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| G. Brooks * | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| L. Maye * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | - |
| K. Williams * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| B. Robinson | 15 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| N. Little | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| S. Woods | 9 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| B. Huffman | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| A. Platek | 7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| K.J. Smith | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| W. Miller | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Ellis | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Rush | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Mucius * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| O. Sarr * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| C. Brown * | 21 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| B. Childress * | 20 | 0-12 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -14 | - |
| S. Wright Jr. * | 19 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -4 | - |
| T. Johnson | 29 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Wynn | 20 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| J. Hoard | 18 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| I. Smart | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Okeke | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Spivey | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Bilas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Buchanan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter