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2019-03-05

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Boston College Eagles Spread Result
Elo 80.4% 19.6% -
Bradley-Terry 69.0% 31.0% -
Margin 83.6% 16.4% -9.0 (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 78.2% 21.8% -
Efficiency 95.9% 4.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.5% 5.5% -
Log Adjusted 94.5% 5.5% -

Actual: Boston College Eagles -13 (66-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Maye * 33 7-15 0-4 3-3 20 5 0 1 2 17 26 -
C. Johnson * 33 9-18 3-7 1-1 12 5 1 1 1 22 22 -
C. White * 31 5-11 1-5 0-1 2 3 0 0 1 11 4 -
G. Brooks * 26 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
K. Williams * 26 4-12 2-5 0-0 4 4 0 0 0 10 6 -
N. Little 17 3-10 0-0 4-4 7 0 0 0 1 10 6 -
B. Robinson 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 3 5 -
S. Woods 8 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 1 2 0 3 0 0 -
A. Platek 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
B. Huffman 3 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Manley 2 0-0 0-0 0-1 2 0 1 0 0 0 3 -
S. Rush 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
W. Miller 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Ellis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K.J. Smith 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ky Bowman * 40 7-18 7-16 2-2 9 4 2 0 4 23 16 -
J. Chatman * 38 3-18 3-11 0-0 1 5 0 1 0 9 -2 -
S. Mitchell * 33 1-2 0-1 2-6 8 1 3 2 0 4 16 -
N. Popovic * 32 9-18 0-2 2-2 7 0 0 2 0 20 11 -
J. Hamilton * 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
C. Herren Jr. 25 3-9 2-5 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 8 5 -
L. Kraljevic 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
J. Reyes 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter