Morgan State
2010 Team Stats (2 games)
65.5
PPG
83.5
Opp
-18.0
Margin
35.6%
FG%
20.5%
3P%
65.9%
FT%
40.5
RPG
8.0
APG
12.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.8
Adj PPG
71.1
Adj Opp PPG
#143
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2009-2010
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1127 (#93) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1138 (#84) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1138 (#28) | HCA +96 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.3 (#152) | HCA +3.1 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.3 (#166) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.707 (#77) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.498 (#171) | AdjNet -0.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.496 (#171) | AdjNet -0.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.539 (#143) | AdjO 72.8 | AdjD 71.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.572 (#107) | AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 68.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.604 (#117) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.611 (#111) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1128 (#85) | RD 113 | GP 37 |
2010 Schedule & Results
2010 Roster
No roster data available for this season.