Model Predictions
| Model | Morgan State Bears | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.3% | 11.7% | -14.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.3% | 8.7% | -12.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.7% | 6.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.7% | 6.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers -15 (57-72). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Stokes | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| S. Thomas | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Reggie Holmes | 24 | 6-16 | 3-7 | 8-9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Troy Smith | 21 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Danny Smith | 21 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Dewayne Jackson | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Joe Davis | 19 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Kevin Thompson | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| A. Ali | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Long | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| G. Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Foote | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Satchell | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| C. De La Rosa | 34 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Spadafora | 33 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| C. Gilliam | 23 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| S. Grant | 22 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Robbie Jackson | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| B. Neller | 14 | 1-8 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| B. Smith | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Wasco | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Groce | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter