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2009-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Morgan State Bears Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 0.8% 99.2% -
Bradley-Terry 4.7% 95.3% -
Margin 1.0% 99.0% +25.0 (28.0 off)
Efficiency 22.7% 77.3% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -3 (94-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Holmes 37 8-16 5-10 13-15 5 0 4 0 4 34 23 -
S. Thomas 30 1-3 0-1 2-2 3 6 0 0 4 4 6 -
T. Smith 26 2-5 1-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 7 4 -
K. Thompson 23 4-10 0-0 2-4 14 3 1 0 3 10 15 -
D. Jackson 23 3-8 1-3 3-4 4 0 0 0 0 10 6 -
A. Ali 17 1-5 0-0 4-4 4 1 0 0 0 6 6 -
J. Long 16 2-3 0-0 0-2 6 0 0 1 0 4 8 -
J. Davis 15 4-7 2-4 8-8 0 0 1 0 3 18 9 -
R. Stokes 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 2 2 0 -
B. Foote 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
G. Johnson 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Nobles 37 4-7 1-1 8-12 3 6 3 0 3 17 19 -
R. Clarke 36 7-13 4-8 8-9 3 2 0 0 1 26 17 -
M. Powell 35 7-12 0-1 3-6 3 2 0 1 1 17 10 -
J. Farmer 28 1-3 0-0 2-2 8 2 1 1 4 4 9 -
M. Washington 27 6-11 0-0 9-10 5 1 0 1 1 21 16 -
S. Welsh 20 1-4 0-2 3-4 3 1 2 0 1 5 6 -
D. Johnson 12 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
G. Bryant 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
B. Mitchell 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter