Model Predictions
| Model | Morgan State Bears | Albany Great Danes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.1% | 20.9% | -7.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.9% | 12.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Albany Great Danes -4 (65-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Holmes | 33 | 7-17 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 14 | - |
| D. Jackson | 30 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| K. Thompson | 29 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| D. Smith | 29 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Smith | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Long | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| S. Thomas | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| R. Stokes | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Ali | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Davis | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| G. Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Albany Great Danes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Harris | 33 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 4 | - |
| T. Ambrose | 32 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 15 | - |
| B. Gifford | 28 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - |
| S. McRae | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| D. Tartt | 21 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Lindfors | 20 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| M. Black | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| L. Aronhalt | 13 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Metcalf | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Allen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter