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North Carolina A&T Aggies 57
@
Morgan State Bears 84
2010-03-10

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina A&T Aggies Morgan State Bears Spread Result
Elo 48.2% 51.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 46.8% 53.2% - ✓
Margin 39.9% 60.1% +2.2 ✓ (24.8 off)
Efficiency 57.1% 42.9% - ✗

Actual: Morgan State Bears +27 (84-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina A&T Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Coleman 27 2-5 0-0 0-1 3 2 2 1 5 4 2 -
M. Hill 24 4-7 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 9 4 -
N. Simpson 23 4-13 3-10 6-6 2 0 1 1 1 17 7 -
J. Porter 23 1-5 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
R. Johnson 22 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
T. Alston 20 4-10 1-4 2-5 1 0 0 0 1 11 1 -
D. Joshua 18 1-4 0-2 2-4 1 1 0 0 1 4 1 -
J. Williams 15 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
D. Upchurch 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 4 -
A. Witter 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
R.J. Buck 6 0-0 0-0 2-4 2 2 0 0 0 2 6 -
L. Smith 4 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Holmes 35 5-12 1-6 6-7 6 3 4 0 1 17 17 -
K. Thompson 33 10-16 0-0 0-0 16 6 0 2 2 20 26 -
T. Smith 30 7-9 1-3 2-2 2 2 2 0 1 17 13 -
S. Thomas 23 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 4 6 -
D. Jackson 20 4-10 1-3 0-2 5 1 0 0 0 9 5 -
D. Smith 14 1-2 1-1 0-1 1 2 0 0 3 3 1 -
A. Ali 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Davis 11 3-6 1-1 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 9 6 -
R. Stokes 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 1 -
B. Foote 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
G. Johnson 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Long 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Braswell 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter