Model Predictions
| Model | Morgan State Bears | Appalachian State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.2% | 65.8% | +3.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | +5.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Appalachian State Mountaineers +1 (93-92). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Thompson | 39 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 22 | - |
| S. Thomas | 38 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - |
| Reggie Holmes | 38 | 8-17 | 2-8 | 5-8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 12 | - |
| R. Stokes | 32 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Dewayne Jackson | 30 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Troy Smith | 23 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Joe Davis | 12 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Long | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Ali | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. Foote | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Appalachian State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Sims | 37 | 6-15 | 5-13 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 5 | - |
| K. Brand | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| I. Butts | 32 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| J. Booth | 28 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| R. Abraham | 24 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| N. Healy | 21 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Williamson | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| M. Wright | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Webb | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Hunter | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Nirenberg | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A.J. Highsmith | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter