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2009-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Morgan State Bears Appalachian State Mountaineers Spread Result
Elo 9.0% 91.0% -
Bradley-Terry 23.5% 76.5% -
Margin 13.0% 87.0% +10.4 (9.4 off)
Efficiency 90.5% 9.5% -

Actual: Appalachian State Mountaineers +1 (93-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Thompson 39 9-18 0-0 3-6 15 5 0 0 1 21 22 -
S. Thomas 38 1-2 0-0 0-1 2 10 2 0 1 2 13 -
R. Holmes 38 8-17 2-8 5-8 5 0 3 0 2 23 12 -
R. Stokes 32 6-11 0-0 0-1 8 0 1 4 1 12 13 -
D. Jackson 30 5-10 3-4 1-3 2 0 0 0 2 14 4 -
T. Smith 23 2-7 0-4 2-2 1 4 0 0 2 6 2 -
J. Davis 12 4-8 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 8 6 -
J. Long 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Ali 6 1-2 0-0 4-4 2 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
B. Foote 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Appalachian State Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Sims 37 6-15 5-13 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 19 5 -
K. Brand 34 5-8 0-0 2-4 4 3 0 0 2 12 9 -
I. Butts 32 7-10 0-0 0-0 13 1 0 0 1 14 17 -
J. Booth 28 3-10 1-4 5-6 4 5 1 0 0 12 12 -
R. Abraham 24 4-8 1-3 1-2 4 5 0 0 1 10 10 -
N. Healy 21 2-8 1-1 1-2 8 1 0 2 3 6 6 -
A. Williamson 19 2-4 0-0 9-10 9 1 1 0 1 13 19 -
M. Wright 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 -
T. Webb 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 3 1 -
J. Hunter 8 1-1 0-0 0-1 0 2 0 1 0 2 4 -
J. Nirenberg 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A.J. Highsmith 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter