Model Predictions
| Model | Morgan State Bears | Norfolk State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.6% | 26.4% | -7.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.5% | 20.5% | -7.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Norfolk State Spartans -6 (94-100). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Smith * | 42 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Kevin Thompson * | 40 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Reggie Holmes * | 37 | 6-20 | 1-5 | 6-9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Danny Smith * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Ameer Ali * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Dewayne Jackson | 34 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Sean Thomas | 33 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Joe Davis | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Rodney Stokes | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Gene Johnson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Norfolk State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Deloach * | 44 | 11-19 | 1-3 | 11-13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 22 | - |
| Aleek Pauline * | 42 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Rob Hampton * | 31 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Kyle O'Quinn * | 27 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Tim Zephyr * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Marcos Tamares | 26 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Joe Dorsett-Jeffreys | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Isaac Nixon | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Brandon Wheeless | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Antoine Perry | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter