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2010-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Morgan State Bears Norfolk State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 73.6% 26.4% -7.9 โœ“ (1.9 off)
Bradley-Terry 79.9% 20.1% - โœ“
Margin 79.5% 20.5% -7.4 โœ“ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 65.6% 34.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 85.1% 14.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 85.2% 14.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 65.9% 34.1% - โœ“

Actual: Norfolk State Spartans -6 (94-100). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Troy Smith 42 7-14 1-3 3-5 8 0 2 0 1 18 13 -
Kevin Thompson 40 8-15 0-0 5-10 14 4 0 0 3 21 21 -
Reggie Holmes 37 6-20 1-5 6-9 8 3 2 0 2 19 10 -
Dewayne Jackson 34 6-10 2-5 4-5 7 1 1 1 2 18 16 -
S. Thomas 33 5-10 1-2 5-8 4 3 3 0 1 16 15 -
Danny Smith 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 2 -3 -
Joe Davis 12 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 2 -3 -
R. Stokes 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
A. Ali 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
G. Johnson 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Norfolk State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Deloach 44 11-19 1-3 11-13 8 3 1 0 5 34 22 -
A. Pauline 42 4-7 2-2 0-5 2 7 4 0 5 10 11 -
R. Hampton 31 3-5 1-1 4-5 4 2 0 0 4 11 8 -
Kyle O'Quinn 27 8-14 0-2 1-2 6 0 0 1 1 17 9 -
M. Tamares 26 5-7 2-3 2-2 4 0 4 0 0 14 15 -
T. Zephyr 22 2-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
J. Dorsett-Jeffreys 13 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 2 1 0 1 -
I. Nixon 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
B. Wheeless 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
A. Perry 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter