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2010-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Morgan State Bears Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 8.4% 91.6% +15.4 โœ“ (0.6 off)
Bradley-Terry 20.0% 80.0% - โœ“
Margin 2.7% 97.3% +19.6 โœ“ (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 16.3% 83.7% - โœ“

Actual: Baylor Bears +16 (79-63). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Reggie Holmes * 38 7-16 4-9 5-5 1 0 1 0 2 23 7 -
Kevin Thompson * 34 4-11 0-0 1-2 12 3 0 1 3 9 11 -
Troy Smith * 31 2-9 1-5 2-2 3 3 2 0 2 7 4 -
Ameer Ali * 20 2-6 0-0 0-0 8 0 2 0 0 4 8 -
Sean Thomas * 17 3-4 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 7 3 -
Danny Smith 23 2-6 0-1 0-4 0 5 0 0 0 4 3 -
Rodney Stokes 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
Dewayne Jackson 8 1-5 0-1 1-3 2 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
Gene Johnson 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Joe Davis 5 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
John Long 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 -
Buford Foote 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ekpe Udoh * 37 8-16 0-0 2-2 17 3 0 10 3 18 29 -
LaceDarius Dunn * 35 6-15 2-8 2-3 6 4 0 1 3 16 9 -
Tweety Carter * 35 5-13 3-10 3-3 2 9 2 0 1 16 15 -
Anthony Jones * 26 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
Josh Lomers * 23 4-6 0-0 0-2 4 0 2 2 1 8 9 -
Quincy Acy 17 6-7 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 1 1 14 13 -
Nolan Dennis 12 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
A.J. Walton 7 1-2 1-1 0-1 4 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
Cory Jefferson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
Fred Ellis 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
Dragan Sekelja 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Givon Crump 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter