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Morgan State Bears 62
@
Eastern Kentucky Colonels 76
2009-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Morgan State Bears Eastern Kentucky Colonels Spread Result
Elo 15.6% 84.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 27.4% 72.6% - ✓
Margin 16.0% 84.0% +9.1 ✓ (4.9 off)
Efficiency 2.6% 97.4% - ✓

Actual: Eastern Kentucky Colonels +14 (76-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Holmes 37 8-25 6-19 3-3 4 0 3 0 1 25 6 -
T. Smith 34 4-8 0-2 1-2 7 2 1 0 1 9 10 -
D. Smith 32 1-3 0-2 0-2 1 6 1 0 2 2 5 -
K. Thompson 25 6-9 0-0 2-6 9 0 0 0 1 14 13 -
S. Thomas 21 0-2 0-0 2-2 0 2 0 1 1 2 2 -
J. Davis 19 3-6 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 7 0 -
D. Jackson 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
A. Ali 10 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 1 4 -
R. Stokes 6 1-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Long 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Eastern Kentucky Colonels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Stommes 34 5-8 1-1 9-10 8 2 0 0 3 20 19 -
J. Jones 31 5-10 3-5 3-4 3 1 2 0 1 16 11 -
S. Perrin 29 2-3 0-0 3-6 6 3 1 2 2 7 14 -
J. Taylor 28 5-11 1-7 4-4 3 1 0 1 2 15 7 -
P. Oppong 21 3-5 1-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 7 6 -
J. Daniel 19 2-4 0-2 4-5 1 0 0 0 1 8 4 -
D. Ellis 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
R. Mestdagh 11 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
W. Cruz 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 0 4 -
M. Lewis 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter