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2010-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Delaware State Hornets Morgan State Bears Spread Result
Elo 9.1% 90.9% +14.9 โœ“ (4.9 off)
Bradley-Terry 19.2% 80.8% - โœ“
Margin 10.1% 89.9% +12.0 โœ“ (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 35.0% 65.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 12.7% 87.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 12.5% 87.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.8% 74.2% - โœ“

Actual: Morgan State Bears +10 (72-62). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

Delaware State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Sandidge 39 9-15 0-0 6-6 4 0 2 2 2 24 15 -
J. Threatt 37 1-6 1-6 0-0 2 4 3 0 2 3 4 -
M. Neal 37 7-14 3-4 4-4 8 0 2 0 7 21 10 -
C. Wilson 30 3-7 2-3 0-2 2 3 1 0 0 8 7 -
M. Oliver 23 3-5 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 1 0 6 5 -
T. Welcher 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Baylor 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Greg Smith 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 -

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Reggie Holmes 38 4-9 2-5 18-20 7 1 0 0 4 28 23 -
Dewayne Jackson 32 6-8 3-4 4-4 5 0 0 2 2 19 16 -
Kevin Thompson 31 1-1 0-0 1-2 7 2 1 0 3 3 9 -
Danny Smith 31 2-3 1-1 1-2 1 5 2 0 1 6 10 -
Troy Smith 30 0-4 0-2 1-4 2 0 1 0 1 1 -1 -
A. Ali 12 0-2 0-0 2-4 2 2 0 0 2 2 2 -
Joe Davis 10 3-4 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 9 6 -
S. Thomas 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 0 0 -
R. Stokes 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 -

* = starter