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2009-12-05

Model Predictions

Model Morgan State Bears Coppin State Eagles Spread Result
Elo 91.2% 8.8% -17.0 โœ“ (4.0 off)
Bradley-Terry 90.2% 9.8% - โœ“
Margin 88.9% 11.1% -11.5 โœ“ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 76.4% 23.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 93.3% 6.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 93.3% 6.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 73.3% 26.7% - โœ“

Actual: Coppin State Eagles -13 (67-80). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Thompson 37 5-8 0-0 5-8 14 1 2 1 5 15 20 -
Reggie Holmes 35 8-18 3-7 5-7 4 0 1 1 1 24 11 -
R. Stokes 33 1-4 0-0 5-6 6 0 0 0 1 7 8 -
Dewayne Jackson 27 3-9 2-5 3-5 9 1 2 0 1 11 13 -
Danny Smith 25 0-2 0-2 4-5 6 3 1 0 6 4 6 -
Sean Thomas 21 2-4 0-0 1-3 1 4 2 0 1 5 7 -
Joe Davis 14 1-6 1-4 4-5 1 3 1 0 2 7 4 -
A. Ali 7 3-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 7 5 -
John Long 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Coppin State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Vince Goldsberry 31 6-8 0-1 2-3 4 5 3 1 0 14 19 -
Branden Doughty 27 3-5 0-0 3-5 8 0 1 4 2 9 15 -
Kareem Brown 25 2-10 2-7 2-2 0 0 0 0 4 8 -6 -
Ceslovas Kucinskas 22 6-8 0-0 3-5 3 0 0 0 0 15 10 -
Quinston Reggins 22 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 -
Lenny Young 22 1-14 0-3 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 2 -11 -
George Jackson 20 1-5 0-2 2-2 2 2 2 0 3 4 2 -
Eddie Hayden 19 2-4 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 0 1 5 6 -
Sam Coleman 12 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 8 7 -

* = starter