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2009-11-19

Model Predictions

Model East Tennessee State Buccaneers Morgan State Bears Spread Result
Elo 87.1% 12.9% -
Bradley-Terry 70.6% 29.4% -
Margin 73.3% 26.7% -5.6 (16.6 off)
Efficiency 83.4% 16.6% -

Actual: Morgan State Bears +11 (72-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hubbard 34 5-13 2-4 7-12 10 0 0 1 4 19 13 -
J. Tubbs 26 5-11 2-7 4-4 1 1 2 0 0 16 9 -
I. Brown 22 1-6 0-0 3-5 4 0 1 0 1 5 3 -
S. Cooley 22 1-7 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 4 -1 -
B. Grimm 20 0-5 0-3 1-2 2 1 1 0 2 1 -2 -
J.C. Ward 19 2-6 1-1 1-5 8 1 0 0 1 6 8 -
J. Davis 17 1-4 0-2 1-2 0 2 0 0 1 3 0 -
M. Williams 14 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
A. Sollazzo 13 0-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 3 1 -4 -
D. Johnson 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
L. Poderis 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Holmes 31 9-18 4-9 8-9 5 0 3 0 2 30 18 -
S. Thomas 25 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 0 3 2 0 -
D. Jackson 23 2-6 0-1 1-2 6 2 2 0 0 5 9 -
T. Smith 21 0-2 0-0 3-4 0 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -
D. Smith 19 1-3 0-0 2-5 3 2 0 0 2 4 4 -
A. Ali 18 2-2 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 0 2 4 11 -
J. Davis 18 2-5 0-2 4-5 3 0 0 0 1 8 5 -
J. Long 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
R. Stokes 14 6-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 2 12 9 -
K. Thompson 10 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 1 0 4 6 -
G. Johnson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
B. Foote 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -

* = starter